I’m out of prediction-making tools.
And indeed, since I started doing this, there are now national lawfirms that are offering up
The only relevant test of the validity of a hypothesis is comparison of prediction with experience.
So said the economist Milton Friedman. At least the Internet says he said it. Must be true, right?
Anyways, before we turn the page to 2018, let’s take a look back at the predictions I laid out on January…
For many years, I’ve used my first post each year to look back and ahead at the area of employment law. My record of predictions has been about what you would expect someone predicting the future — about average.
Last year at this time, I said a few things though that seem to resonate…
Way back at the start of 2015, I made a series of predictions regarding employment law in the then-upcoming year.
Today, cross-posted on the LXBN site, I reflected on the biggest legal developments of the first half of the decade. I am reposting it here, but my sincere thanks to Lexblog for the support it has given me over the past 8 1/2 years and for the opportunity to provide some insight on its …
Having tackled the predictions in employment law on a federal level, what does the future hold for employers in Connecticut?
Besides a debate on Family & Medical Leave Insurance, there are a few things we’re likely to see.
1. New bills at the General Assembly: The first one comes courtesy of Mara Lee…
Well, that and Grumpy Cats.
(For an excellent…
In this week’s Connecticut Law Tribune, I filed my annual “forecast” of employment law for 2013. As with the weather forecasts, it is subject to change on a moment’s notice. So drink your “tea” with a grain of salt.
So, last year, I brought out my trusted Magic 8-Ball to make my 2012 predictions. Looking back on those predictions, it did pretty well. It’s only flaw was suggesting that new NLRB notice rules would go into effect in 2012; a court injunction prevented that from happening.
But alas this year, the Magic 8-Ball was blown away by Hurricane Sandy. Fortunately, I’ve been catching up on the Harry Potter series and the art of reading tea leaves.
Will our tasseography be as accurate? Only Divination Teacher Sybill Trelawney knows for sure.
Tea Cup #1 — Wand
After the first cup of green tea, the tea leaves seem to leave an imprint of a magic wand.
The horrific Newtown shooting will surely be a defining moment here in the state, much like 1983 Stratford toll booth crash or even the 1944 Hartford circus fire.
What might this mean for employment law? There will likely be a renewed appetite for legislative solutions to incidents of violence. And keeping violence out of the workplace and schools is no doubt going to be an important area to focus on.
While the legislature will undoubtedly want to wave a magic wand with legislation to make it all better, sadly, even they know that it’ll take more than a wand.
Tea Cup #2 – Tweeting Bird
Our second cup of black tea leaves a bird – surely, a symbol of Twitter.
Are you tired of social media yet? No? Good, because expect more stories about employees who behave badly online and employers who overreact to a tweet about their business that no one saw anyway.
2012 certainly brought more noise to the issue. What it still lacks though, is defining clarity. The NLRB issued various decisions, many of which erred on the side of the employee, saying that employee use of Facebook is a protected concerted activity.
Of course, that presumes a level of sophistication by most employees who are not using Facebook to “rally the troops”; they use it to share an anecdote about their day or to rant about a bad day at work.
I sense two developments relating to social media.
First, I see more legislation restricting employers from violating employee privacy. Already, Maryland and California passed new laws prohibiting employers from seeking Facebook passwords. Connecticut can’t be that far behind.
Second, I forecast some judicial clarity on “protected” activity and appropriate employer policies. As these cases wind their way through the NLRB, we are due to have courts finally add their perspective. Expect some circuit splits to develop as to what should be protected and how employers can react.
Among the topics I tackle are new U.S. Supreme Court and Connecticut Supreme Court decisions, possible new legislative developments, and whether the trend of…